I have been a strong supporter of Donald Trump, ever since he started running for the 2016 nomination. In ranking U.S. presidents, a strong case can be made for Trump ranking number two, George Washington will always be number one. But, regretfully, Trump has lost the war in Iran. The Islamist regime in Iran is stronger than ever, will have tens of billions of dollars filling its coffers, and can now boast of defeating Israel and the United States.
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The spokesman for the Islamic Republic’s Foreign Ministry, Esmaeil Baghaei, claimed victory, stating, “Iran has defeated two nuclear powers… we are truly a superpower.”
For once Iran is not lying or exaggerating. It has emerged thanks to its unexpected victory as the dominant Middle Eastern power.
A few days ago I was holding out hope that President Trump had some sort of calculation behind his apparent change of attitude that I was not aware of. That it was a strategy on his part. However when using voice dictation to write this it came out “it was a tragedy,” and I think that describes the situation. It seems quite appropriate to use the word tragedy to describe how unexpectedly Trump turned victory in the Iran war into a humiliating defeat.
Israel Had No Say or Choice
President Trump had made it clear that Israel “won’t have any choice” but to accept any treaty he signs with Iran. “ I call the shots. I call all the shots. He [Netanyahu] doesn’t call the shots….” We knew Israel would be forced to accept a treaty it does not like. I doubt Israel believed even before the treaty that regime change in Iran is a realistic possibility. I doubt that Israel believed that permanently preventing Iran from getting a nuclear bomb is a realistic option. Israel’s goal was to prevent Iran from having the bomb for, say a decade, and worry about things then. But it is clear now that even that much was not Trump’s goal.
What Was Trump’s Reasoning?
What is responsible for Trump abandoning the war in Iran? I believe there was some combination of two things at work. He was probably advised that the war was not winnable and prolonging it would only lead to ever increasing gas prices and an ever dropping chance of Republicans holding on to the Senate or House in the midterms. The ayatollahs of Iran are willing to fight right down to the last living Iranian. Not only does human life have no value to them, in that part of the world the only purpose of life is to kill and die for Islam. So apparently, the only important thing to the Trump administration now was keeping the Strait of Hormuz open, and if that means giving Iran a nuclear bomb, so be it. The equation may be no nuclear bomb equals no passable straight.
I also believe Trump is under the impression that a peace treaty with Iran, any sort of treaty, would solidify his standing as a great peacemaker. Trump still thinks he can bring all the people who despise him onto his side. The logic, albeit twisted logic, being that the people on his side are already on his side. And no longer need to be appealed to. The task as he probably sees it is to get the people despising him to praise him.
The Reaction
Lest I was too pessimistic in my initial reaction to the MOU, an online search demonstrates conclusively that just about every pro-Israeli source is absolutely appalled by this agreement.
Netanyahu can not dare criticize Trump in public. But other conservative voices in Israel are free to say that Trump has ruined his legacy and Netanyahu’s legacy in the bargain. Right about now there are a lot of Hebrew obscenities being shouted.
People will still say correctly that Trump is better than the Islamo-Marxist party. But some people who defended and championed Trump will never do so again. And you know what Netanyahu thinks of Trump in private—it is exactly what Trump said about him in public.
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The Times of Israel writes, “Israeli officials were shocked by the Sunday announcement that the US and Iran had reached a deal, with one senior Israeli official calling the agreement ‘Terrible for us.’”
Republican U.S. Senator from Louisiana, Bill Cassidy, is on record saying, “It strikes me as similar to JCPOA; that was the deal Obama struck. I thought that deal was bad, and I think this one is bad. Frankly, this seems worse.”
From Jonathan S. Tobin in the Jewish News Syndicate:
Trump’s chaos and incoherence have led to failure on Iran
The damage that Israel and the United States did to the Islamist terror regime was undone by an agreement that rewards Tehran and vindicates former President Barack Obama.
Yet there’s no denying that Trump’s decision to make a deal with Iran…represents a staggering defeat for the United States, Israel and himself personally.
Also in Jewish News Syndicate, from Michael Makovsky:
‘Epic Fury’ ends with a flop
The last time the United States displayed such incompetence and undermined its credibility so substantially on the world stage was the botched withdrawal from Afghanistan.
Gregg Roman, in the Middle East Forum Observer, wrote that Trump is “paying Tehran to keep the bomb.”
Dan Perry writes in The Forward, “The Iran war ended terribly for the US, and even worse for Israel. The Iranian regime is the only party leaving this conflict in a strong position.”
Democrats, socialists, and Islamists, are already salivating over and anticipating Israel disappearing in a genocide.
As ministers from Turkey, once the model of a “democratic, secular, Moslem” state, have announced Jerusalem is about to be “liberated” and the Zionists entity will be under Turkish rule. But the now-failed Iran campaign was not a war for Israel. It was a war for Western Civilization.
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All we can say is, may God’s will be done.
Image generated by ChatGPT.