And here you thought Trump was being naïve, trusting Iran to adhere to the MOU (Memo of Understanding.). It’s not a treaty or an agreement or a promise. It’s just a memo. Here is what I think Trump is doing, four steps ahead of everyone else, as usual.
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Trump made a big deal out of signing the MOU publicly. Cameras, people standing around, a worldwide press event of the signing. But Trump knew, and still knows full well, that the Iranians have no intention of adhering to the memo or to any future deal. They will cheat. And when they do, Trump will be able to say, “The U.S. signed the MOU in good faith. The Iranians signed it, too. Now, world, you can see clearly that Iran alone on the world stage cannot be trusted to adhere to any agreement.” (China and Russia are another story for another time.)
Trump’s tactic here is a weird and convoluted Alinsky move of “freezing the target,” isolating it (Iran), and then destroying it. Make no mistake that Trump is fully prepared to bomb them into particles if they break the MOU and any subsequent treaty/deal they will sign in the future.
What Trump has done is to publicly isolate Iran from the entire world, revealing them to be intransigent and dishonest and unable, among all other nations, to keep their word. Most people already know this, but by the very public camera-intensive signing of the MOU, it gives a visual power punch to Trump’s willingness for peace and Iran’s unwillingness for peace. It’s a masterstroke.
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Some think Trump is being played. Trump cannot be played; he’s been dealing too long and too well to get played. Some think Trump can be lied to without him noticing. Trump’s leg has been urinated on by the dogs of deception for too long for him not to carry a spare set of trousers. He won’t be taken by surprise, and he will get their nuke dust as well, one way or the other.
Here’s the upshot: Iran will sign the MOU. Then, they will promptly use their 60-day grace period to do whatever they can to arm up and cause chaos in the Middle East and in America.
They believe they can get the best of the best negotiator America has ever had. That will be the worst decision they ever made.
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Image generated by ChatGPT.